Being fair to oneself – and to others

We seem to be reminded on a regular basis that there are some individuals in our world who are largely immune from a sense of shame – indeed, any sense of embarrassment. Such people must be deeply painful to spend any time with, because this immunity must be a sign that they lack empathy and any ability to see themselves through others’ eyes. 

Yet while occasional senses of shame and embarrassment are intensely human, and surely a positive, an ongoing and unshakeable feeling of shame can only be negative. This is termed ‘trait shame’ in a brief and thoughtful paper on Psyche from US clinical psychologists Michaela Swee and Susan Murray. Typically arising from bad experiences in formative years, sufferers feel that they do not deserve good things, that they are ‘bad’ or ‘broken’. Swee and Murray distinguish this from feelings of guilt because it is to do with the individual’s whole sense of themselves, not simply their feelings with regard to a specific act or behaviour.

The clinicians argue that the appropriate response to such shame is not to suppress it nor to avoid the feelings that arouse it, but to recognise and acknowledge it, and to be self-compassionate. In effect, they argue that we should learn to be fair to ourselves, acknowledge the feelings, recognise their underlying origins, and yet be honest about how unfair to ourselves that ongoing sense of shame is. 

After all, such fairness should surely typify our response to those who are less fortunate than ourselves and who face negative life events. Very often, individuals’ decision-making is constrained by their circumstances and allows them to achieve only limited amounts or obliges them to take risks that may not come good. David Kinney, now an Assistant Professor in Philosophy at Washington University in St Louis, has long studied causation and the limits to our understanding of it given real-world complexities. In another article for Psyche, Kinney considers these issues through the case of Kenny Chow, a New York immigrant from Myanmar, who in 2011 when made redundant after 20 years working for a jewellery firm chose to buy a taxi medallion for $750,000. Though for a short while this seemed like a good decision, the advent of ride-hailing apps Uber and Lyft completely changed the economics of the taxi business. Chow started to struggle to make the repayments on his loan and eventually took his own life in 2018.

Kinney tries to make the mathematical case that we should be understanding in such situations. He argues that the complexity of decision-making ensures that it will be unknowable for most individuals to predict likely future scenarios and so assess whether they are making wise decisions. Having advised clients on scenario analysis when thinking about climate risk for investment portfolios, I well know that the best way of thinking about the process is not as an attempt to predict the future but rather to seek to gain insights into the range of possible outcomes so as to try to build resilience to the worst ones. As Kinney says, wisdom might lead to individuals not putting all their eggs in a single basket, limiting individual exposures as investment institutions and the wealthy certainly do – but such a mindset assumes that all have resources sufficient to spread their risks effectively. The ability to spread risks is itself a privilege not available to all. Kinney’s is a logical case, but it lacks the compassion that Swee and Murray might argue for, and that the cruelty of the Chow case probably invites.

Even setting aside compassion, in spite of the logic of Kinney’s case, many of us tend to assume that poor life choices lead individuals into these situations. Significant numbers of people – especially in the US – believe that the poor deserve to be poor, and poverty arises from a lack of effort. As we’ve seen previously, people in the US are particularly optimistic about the chances of people from the bottom quintile of wealth rising out of that during their lives. While those from other countries are more realistic (even pessimistic), the chances of rising from poverty are in most countries depressingly small – even though we love to hear those rare rags-to-riches tales. 

Ironically, it is the central importance of fairness to who we are as humans that can lead us to lack compassion, to fail to be fair to ourselves and others. Just as the centrality of fairness to our human world-view leads us to believe in meritocracy in a largely misplaced way, so our view that the world is just means that we are prone to find post-hoc justifications for unfairness having happened to others. Psychologist Melvin Lerner called this the just-world hypothesis and found it makes people enter into intellectual contortions to make injustice make sense – to the extent of asserting that randomly chosen individuals from their own groups actually in some way deserved the mistreatment they received at the hands of experimenters. This sense was strongest for those that were unable to influence the mistreatment, suggesting that disempowerment plays a role in being willing to convince ourselves that iniquitous outcomes are in some way fair. That’s dangerous given how many people increasingly feel disempowered.

As law professor Tess Wilkinson-Ryan explains in her fascinating book Fool Proof, “There are enormous psychological consequences to believing that the world is unfair – it feels really destabilizing and depressing – and people will adapt their other beliefs to fit a story about a just universe. The feeling of living in a rigged or random system can feel terrifying and unsettling in a way that is worse than losing and feeling like you deserved to lose.” Lerner’s evidence is even stronger than Wilkinson-Ryan expresses it – the adaptions of beliefs are awakened not by the world as a whole proving unfair, but just that our world contains specific unfairnesses that we often cannot influence.

Unlike Stanley Kowalski (in Streetcar Named Desire), we don’t make our own luck. We are framed in the world around us, and not all options are available to all of us. Swee and Murray argue that we need to work to awaken our compassionate selves, so as to be more fair to ourselves. I’d argue we need to awaken our compassionate selves to be more fair to others too – and not be so fooled by our firm desires for a fair world that we think that all current outcomes must be the consequence of fairness.

See also: Fairness – the human lens for addressing our current challenges
Meritocracy’s unfair

I am happy to confirm as ever that the Sense of Fairness blog is a purely personal endeavour.

How to cope with shame, Michaela Swee, Susan Murray. Psyche, 2023

The mathematical case against blaming people for their misfortune, David Kinney. Psyche, 2021

Just World Research and the Attribution Process: Looking Back and Ahead, Melvin Lerner, Dale Miller. Psychological Bulletin 85, No 5 (1978)

Fool Proof: How Fear of Playing the Sucker Shapes our Selves and the Social Order – and what we can do about it, Tess Wilkinson-Ryan. Harper Collins, 2023

Mateship and the ‘fair go’

I write this as I return from my first trip to Australia for a decade. I am reminded that it’s a warm place – not just in terms of climate but also in the matiness of the culture. Fairness plays a key role in this, formally and informally.

There is indeed a remarkable amiability to the culture of Australia. A nation built on immigration, lived in sunshine under large skies, perhaps encourages an openness and friendliness, a willingness to talk to all as equals. That immigrant mindset is aided by the belief – only in recent years eroding – that they took over a tabula rasa (I strongly recommend the remarkable Dark Emu as the firmest of rebuttals to that view).

Aussies have a word for this: mateship. Less gendered than it sounds, the concept of mateship nonetheless has its origins in the experience of predominantly male soldiers in the First World War. It asserts a camaraderie and shared experience, and importantly an equality of status. Everyone in Australia can be addressed as a ‘mate’; in a sense, everyone is a mate. Historian of the term Nick Dyrenforth calls mateship Australia’s ‘secular religion’.

Former Prime Minister John Howard famously tried to co-opt the term directly into the nation’s Constitution as part of a referendum in 1999 (some posit that, a royalist, he raised the issue to reduce the referendum’s focus on republicanism). Words developed by poet Les Murray alongside Howard were proposed as a new preamble: 

“Australians are free to be proud of their country and heritage, free to realise themselves as individuals, and free to pursue their hopes and ideals. We value excellence as well as fairness, independence as dearly as mateship.”

The preamble didn’t make it through the referendum, and mateship in particular remains a divisive concept for many. But fairness seems less divisive, not least in the form of another core Australian value: the ‘fair go’. Indeed, one prominent academic article goes so far as to equate ‘Australianness’ with fairness, emphasising the ways in which it is inclusive and promotes a vigorous and cosmopolitan egalitarianism.

So core is fairness and the ‘fair go’ concept to the nation that it is formally noted among the Australian Values set out by the government, which every visa-seeker must acknowledge. The discussion by the Department of Home Affairs on these Values starts: “Australian values based on freedom, respect, fairness and equality of opportunity are central to our community remaining a secure, prosperous and peaceful place to live.” According to its articulation, the ‘fair go’ for all embraces:

  • mutual respect
  • tolerance
  • compassion for those in need
  • equality of opportunity for all

Such thinking goes a long way back in Australian history. A brisk and energetic monograph, The First Dismissal, discusses the actions of early New South Wales governor Lachlan Macquarie, who held the role from 1810 to 1821. Macquarie had an active programme of freeing convicts who were skilled artisans from what would otherwise be burdens as drudges. He did this initially through tickets-of-leave (essentially, parole), and then if they proved themselves, conditional – and in some cases and after a further period of time, absolute – pardons. A number of these skilled artisans were then put to work on the creation of the colony’s first lasting civic infrastructure; the earliest buildings that survive in Sydney date from this era.

The Macquarie obelisk from which all NSW distances were measured

Author Luke Slattery focuses on the role of Francis Greenway, an architect who had been transported for forgery but on whose arrival was almost immediately freed by Macquarie. Greenway designed and oversaw the building of several key buildings, including Hyde Park Barracks and St James’s church (originally designed as a courthouse), which stand opposite each other across what is now Macquarie Street. Greenway also created the obelisk from which road distances in the colony were to be measured, still standing in Macquarie Place. Another such example was stonemason Richard Byrne, pardoned in 1812, the stone footings of whose house can be seen at The Rocks following excavation in the 1990s.

The remains of the Byrne house, constructed in 1807 and demolished 1858

Macquarie went further and welcomed former convicts – known as emancipists – into his home, encouraging his military officers to do the same (they largely ignored him). He also founded and funded schools, in itself a revolutionary step for those days. He clearly was trying to create a society where people were to be treated equally, could rise on merit, perhaps even one where all could be seen as mates.

Slattery’s book reflects anger at the way Macquarie and his programme were treated both by the local elite population – those who had chosen to emigrate rather than being transported as punishment, and whose status consciousness is shown by their being known as ‘exclusives’ – and by the reactionary English government of the time. In the end, the governor was ignominiously removed from office and replaced by Sir Thomas Brisbane, who proved less interested in rehabilitation of convicts, and indeed in civic architecture.

There may not be much evidence that Macquarie did in fact invent the ‘fair go’ as such – recent research by academics from Griffith University shows that the term wasn’t much talked about pre-1900, certainly beyond sporting arenas, and doesn’t appear at all in Australian newspapers prior to 1860 – but his intent in freeing the more skilled of the convict arrivals certainly does seem a step towards fairness, a recognition that one error should not mean an individual is marked for life. The contrast with the heavily stratified society sought by his opponents, in which convicts could never lose their status as wrongdoers, emphasises his ideas as ones of fairness of opportunity, as well as a literal building of society.

It is not without irony that Macquarie’s name is nowadays most often attached to a bank variously referred to as the millionaires’ factory and the vampire kangaroo. Macquarie investments have on occasions seemed to work well for its staff and rather less well for the customers of the utilities and infrastructure in question. No doubt its proponents would argue the intensity of its focus on meritocracy, allowing all staff a fair go at riches. But none would argue that the bank’s approach has led to greater equality overall.

I reference in my forthcoming book recent research that heightened income inequality in Australia – not all of which can be laid at the door of Macquarie Bank – is closely associated with dissatisfaction with democracy. As the researchers say, these perceptions may be particularly debilitating in a country where a ‘fair go’ is central to the national psyche. Others have highlighted how current inequalities are undermining belief in the ‘fair go’ and in society more broadly.

Such is the extent of our current inequalities that we risk hollowing out our societies and reintroducing social and economic stratifications reminiscent of the colonial era. That isn’t fair, it isn’t democratic, and it runs counter to the egalitarian concepts of mateship and the fair go. It’s especially painful to see these concepts eroded in countries and cultures where fairness is so central.

Dark Emu: Aboriginal Australia and the birth of agriculture, Bruce Pascoe. Scribe, 2018

Mateship: secular Australia’s religion and how John Howard hijacked it, Nick Dyrenfurth. Australian Fabians, September 2015

“Friendship, but Bloke-ier”: Can Mateship Be Reimagined as an Inclusive Civic Ideal in Australia?, Na’ama Carlin, Benjamin Jones, Amanda Laugesen. Journal of Australian Studies, Vol 46 Iss 2, 2022

Australianness as fairness: Implications for cosmopolitan encounters, Stefanie Plage, Indigo Willing, Zlatko Skrbis, Ian Woodward. Journal of Sociology, 53(2), 2017

Australian values, Australian Government Department of Home Affairs

The First Dismissal, Luke Slattery. Penguin, 2014

The Big Dig Australia

What did a ‘fair go’ originally mean to Australians?, Cosmo Howard. Australian Journal of Political Science, Vol 58, No 2, 2023

Income inequality and democratic resilience – Impacts and policy choices, Nicholas Biddle, Matthew Gray. Australian Resilient Democracy Research and Data Network Discussion Paper 1, Australian National University 2024

Inequality and the ‘fair go’ in Australia, John van Kooy. Scanlon Foundation Research Institute Social Cohesion Insights Series, 2023

Captains of industry

A merchant ship, carrying a mix of cargo on behalf of different business concerns, gets caught in a storm. It’s a bad one, and the ship, and all hands, are at risk. The captain must act. To save the crew, ship, and the bulk of its cargo, the captain orders that some cargo be thrown overboard, becoming jetsam. The ship becomes more manoeuvrable, and less low in the water, and it is saved. The storm passes, and it continues to its port, off-loading the remaining cargo at profit.

What happens to the merchant whose cargo was thrown into the waters to save the rest and the ship? Its loss has enabled the saving of the rest, and the profits that come from the (at least partially) successful voyage? 

Since antiquity, the answer to this question has been the same, so it doesn’t matter if our ship is a Roman corbita, Portuguese carrack, Dutch fluyt, English tea clipper or a vessel today. The so-called ‘rule of general averages’ is applied, and the merchants that benefit from the success of the voyage need to share profits to make the cargo-loser whole. And by ‘whole’ that means the value of the goods at the destination, not on embarkation, i.e. giving the benefit of the successful voyage that their loss enabled. 

The core of this rule is equity, or fairness: the voyage is a shared endeavour and the jeopardy is a shared one. Informally, it becomes a partnership where risks need to be shared fairly – though the sense of partnership is only triggered if the captain needs to take such a drastic decision. By granting the captain full discretion, the merchants allow him or her to take the decisions that give the voyage the best chance of overall success, and enable him or her to exercise professional judgement to deliver that result. 

A fascinating academic article draws an analogy between this granting of discretion to someone who can exercise professional judgement over the success of an operation to the role of the board of directors and management of a company, and an analogy between the rule of general averages and the governance need to exercise judgement over how the fruits of business success are shared among the stakeholders who share in that endeavour. Called, perhaps inevitably, Captains of industry? Value allocation and the partnering effect of managerial discretion, the article suggests that corporate law could benefit from more of a similar sense of equity (or fairness). Company directors have fiduciary duties to promote the success of the company (the English law formulation is acknowledged in most markets, and, as I explain in full in my forthcoming book, was a proper understanding of US law too). This implies a need to seek a fair balance of the interests of stakeholders, as that is what will promote long-term business success. The analogy comes largely in thinking through the equitable sharing of that success. The paper doesn’t argue that the general averages model should be adopted, but rather shows that it is a helpful reframing allowing us to see more clearly how modern corporations are often run. Essentially, it points out that modern management and boards often display a failure to be fair.

For the academics, the first benefit of the analogy is in thinking about any particular sacrifices that stakeholders may make which operate to the benefit of the company. This, they suggest, might give rise to a similar sense of quasi-partnership that the captain’s cargo sacrifice triggers in general averages. The example given is staff undertaking specialist training that is relevant only to that particular business, but it is also relevant to consider any time that workers spend that exceeds the expectations of their job description. Certainly, workers who do work beyond their contract (which is many) tend to feel that they have some right to better reward or treatment over time as a result of such actions. As the academics say: “the rule of general averages makes us realize that some stakeholders can be affected by decisions taken for collective purposes, without being considered as general averages. It thus questions whether these impacts are treated in a fair way.”

The core of the argument is that at least some stakeholders should be seen as in effect corporate partners in the business endeavour, and therefore that their interests need to be fairly considered and balanced alongside shareholder interests in setting strategy and delivering operationally. Thus: “our analogy calls for a solidarity rule to share the impacts of managerial decisions on ‘partnered stakeholders.’ In practice, this rule would require ex ante that any strategy designed by corporate leaders must achieve a balance between employees and shareholders. Management should also be required to report on how they integrate fairness into their strategic thinking.” One specific example that the authors posit is that workers laid off to preserve the company through difficult times might be given a financial instrument that enabled them to participate in the upside should the company not only recover but prosper in the future.

That discussion reads (to this reader at least) as though the authors are going a little further than their own strictures about the limits to the value of the general averages analogy that they themselves set (that it is a frame for considering our current approach rather than a model to be followed as such) – but it is all the more thought-provoking as a result.

There may well be aspects of this work that we should jettison, but it does seem to me that the overall cargo offered by the article’s thinking could be valuable if safely brought to harbour. Its active consideration of fairness is clearly attractive for this blog, but also the emphasis on businesses as effectively partnerships between stakeholders – certainly when they are successful this is how the best companies feel – and the need for boards to find a fair balance between the interests of different stakeholders are all elements that chime with earlier posts and with a sensible understanding of where long-term business success lies.

See also: Accountable capitalism
What’s the purpose of purpose?
Workers value dignity
The limited responsibility company, or the tale of the unnatural revolutionary

Captains of industry? Value allocation and the partnering effect of managerial discretion, Segrestin Blanche, Armand Hatchuel, Ken Starkey, 2020. Management & Organizational History, 15:4

What’s fair pay for a bank?

It’s fair to say that generally banks aren’t well known for the fairness of their approach to pay. So it was interesting to note the emphasis that UBS, now by far Switzerland’s dominant bank following its 2023 rescue of the failing Credit Suisse, places on the issue of fair pay in its latest, recently issued annual report.

But the problem is that it seems to this reader at least that the bank may not necessarily be focusing on the right forms of fairness in pay.

For example, in the introductory section of the 43-page compensation report, the bank answers its own question, How does UBS support pay fairness?, as follows:

“We pay for performance, and we take pay equity seriously. Across all our locations, we apply the same fair pay standards, reinforced by annual reviews of our approach and policies in line with established equal pay methodologies. In 2025, our statistical pay gap analyses reaffirmed that pay differences between male and female employees in similar roles across our core financial hubs remained below 1%, a difference consistent with that for 2024. If we find any gaps not explained by business or by appropriate employee factors, such as role, responsibility, experience, performance or location, we look at the root causes and address them.”

UBS develops this analysis a little further in the Compensation philosophy and governance section, under the title Fair and equitable pay. Key elements of this discussion read:

“Pay equity and equal opportunity are fundamental to support our strategy. Being an employer of choice and inclusive of all experiences, perspectives and backgrounds is critical to our success. Factors such as gender, culture, race, ethnicity, sexual orientation and identity, disability, family, veteran status, generations and part-time status should not impact opportunities available to our employees.

“Fair and consistent pay practices are designed to ensure that employees are appropriately rewarded for their contribution.”

It again emphasises that gender pay gap analysis shows gaps below 1% in pay for male and female employees “in similar roles across our core financial hubs”, an interesting geographical narrowing and also clearly ignoring the general experience that the issues in gender pay arise most often because of differential opportunities for men and women, which tend to lead to a skewing of roles away from strict ‘similarity’. And note that it has a marked gender skew overall in staff, given that only 41% are female.

If we set aside these limitations, this discussion of fairness seems fine as far as it goes, but it barely begins to address the promise of the titles given to it. This is not UBS ‘supporting pay fairness’; this is simply the bank not overtly discriminating in its treatment of different staff – which in many countries and cases will in any case be illegal. An actual discussion of the challenge of supporting pay fairness might acknowledge realities outside the bank, rather than this internal focus. The financialisation of our economies has helped fuel the broad inequalities that our world faces, as financial institutions, competing with each other for ‘talent’, bid up the pay of individuals well beyond what is affordable or realistic (even imaginable) for most businesses. The closest UBS comes to a proper understanding of what a broader mindset about fair pay, looking beyond the financial sector, might actually imply is this comment, which at least acknowledges some external benchmark:

“We also aim to ensure that all employees are paid at least a living wage. We regularly assess employees’ salaries against local living wages, using benchmarks defined by the Fair Wage Network. Our analysis in 2025 showed that employees’ salaries were at or above the respective benchmarks.”

A bank that was genuinely seeking to ‘support pay fairness’ might apply similar pay expectations – of that minimum living wage level pay – at all clients and counterparties. A bank that worked with its corporate customers to understand what local living wages might be in their countries of operation and how they might be achieved across relevant workforces while still delivering profitability would be a bank genuinely supporting this ambition.

A bank that was genuinely seeking to ‘support pay fairness’ might consider whether financialisation is leading to pay distortions between the financial sector and almost every other part of the economy.

These UBS does not do. As ever, the finance industry has a tendency to look inwards at itself and not outward at its role and influence in the real world. An article I reference a couple of times in my forthcoming book invites the industry to think about fairness ‘outside its cocoon’. Only if financial services starts to do that will it genuinely be supporting fairness. 

Duncan Mavin, in his (highly recommended) book telling the sad history of UBS’s takeover target, Meltdown: Scandal, Sleaze and the Collapse of Credit Suisse, identifies an unfair approach to pay as being part of the drivers of that bank’s failure: “The behaviour of the bank’s leaders hardly inspired other staff to be the best versions of themselves … Credit Suisse bankers got paid well, whatever happened. When the bank was making a profit, staff made a bundle, regardless of whether the results were driven by strong markets or great management. When the bank made a loss – because of misconduct, fines, bad behaviour or poor strategic decisions – the bonuses were good then too.” 

Inward-looking financial institutions are more likely to fail than ones that look outward and measure fairness against external benchmarks. Instead, they need to look beyond their comfortable cocoon.

See also: Diversity and fairness
Fairness in the pay ratio
Resentment and rents: fairness in executive pay
The Gini in the executive pay bottle

Annual Report 2025, UBS

Fairness Outside the Cocoon, Meir Statman, Financial Analysts Journal, Vol 60, No 6

Meltdown: Scandal, Sleaze and the Collapse of Credit Suisse, Duncan Mavin, Pan Macmillan 2024

Surprising benefits of labour fairness

Having sent my draft book to my publisher – more news on that when I have it – I can re-devote my fairness writing energies to this blog. One side-effect of the book-writing process, and particularly of the editing process, is that I’ve much material that didn’t make it into the manuscript, at least not in full. This then is likely to be the first of a few (or more!) blogs that are based on materials from the cutting room floor.

Many take it as a given that treating employees well encourages them to deliver more, not least because workers value dignity. There’s been a formal economic theory to that effect since at least 1990, in the form of the Fair Wage-Effort Hypothesis put forward by an illustrious pair, future Nobel prize winner George Akerlof and future Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen. This says that workers treated fairly, and specifically paid fairly, put in greater effort; those treated unfairly don’t bother so much.

Sometimes particularly strong evidence is provided that backs the hypothesis, showing greater productivity of workers who are inspired by being treated fairly. In at least one case, that evidence shows the productivity effect not in terms of fairness facilitating the creation of higher numbers of goods, but in the way that unfair treatment led to the creation of products that were in fact lethal for customers.

That case dates back to the era in which the Fair Wage-Effort Hypothesis was developed: the Bridgestone/Firestone defective tyre issue of the 1990s, and the subsequent product recalls. Some 271 deaths and more than 500 injuries in the US alone have been attributed to the defective tyres. In the end, Bridgestone/Firestone’s costs of the scandal were over $800 million, and those for the other company implicated, Ford, more than $500 million. The detail of the research into the case – particularly a study with the surprising name for an academic paper of Strikes, Scabs, and Tread Separations – is such that it not only succeeds in identifying the implicated plant, but also with some precision the times when most defective tyres were produced. This precision allows us to attribute clearly the defects to failures of fairness in how workers were treated. 

Japanese tyre manufacturer Bridgestone had bought US rival Firestone in 1988. Increasingly, it put pressure on Firestone’s loss-making operations. As pressure increased to reduce those losses, the focus came onto staff costs, perhaps inevitably giving rise to industrial unrest. There were three main facilities in North America; the one where the greatest industrial dispute arose was Decatur in Illinois. The Wilson, North Carolina plant wasn’t unionised and saw no strike, while the strike in Joliette, Quebec was brief and no replacement workers were hired there (not least because that’s illegal in Canada). At Decatur, tensions were much greater and longer-lived. 

The key trigger to industrial unrest was the process of negotiating a new contract from 1994. The company was seeking to change from 8-hour to 12-hour shift patterns, and wanted to cut pay for newly hired workers by 30%. The prior contract expired in April 1994 and workers continued without a contract for three months before going on strike in July 1994. The company hired replacements, and refused to consider rehiring the strikers. A final contract, under which former strikers were in the end rehired, was agreed only in December 1996. 

The issues with the tyres in question were associated with their role on the first Ford Explorer SUVs. In moves that to modern ears have echoes of Boeing’s failed decision-making in the development of the 737 Max, Ford didn’t design the Explorer from scratch but put a new body on an existing pickup chassis. However, the new body was heavier and so the Explorer had a higher centre of gravity and was more prone to roll in an accident. Avoiding a redesign, Ford chose to shorten the suspension and lowered the recommended tyre pressure. Such lower tyre pressure can increase the operating temperature of the tyres, making any faults more likely to cause blowouts or other less catastrophic forms of tyre failure. 

No one fault in the tyres has been identified that made them particularly prone to failure, so there was probably a range of possible defects. While the tyres in question were manufactured at all of the three North American facilities, the evidence is that the bulk of the tyres that failed came from Decatur. 

In particular, the Strikes, Scabs, and Tread Separations study of the timing and sourcing of the failed tires shows a clear linkage between the labour dispute – and particularly the most contentious moments in the dispute, those that will have generated the greatness sense of unfairness for the workforce – and the production of the substandard tires. Workers that feel themselves to be being treated unfairly are likely to take less care over their work. In some cases, the treatment is seen as so unfair and the lack of care is so significant that there are major quality problems. The study concludes simply that: “the strike and associated labor strife in Decatur was a major contributing factor to the production of defective tires”.

In more detail, it says: “Four years after production, tires that were made in Decatur during the labor dispute were at least 15 times more likely to have resulted in a claim than were tires manufactured in other plants.” As the chart from the research shows, in internal engineering testing to destruction, the top quartile Decatur tires from the relevant period performed at the same level as bottom quartile tires from the other factories.

The evidence doesn’t suggest that the replacement workers were more prone to error (as some commentators alleged), but rather that periods when union members operated alongside replacement workers before the final contract was agreed were more likely to see defective tires produced. Similarly, defective tires were produced in much higher quantities in the months leading up to the old contract coming to an end, when the company was pressurising workers for concessions. These were the moments of greatest industrial tension, the greatest sense of failures of fairness.

Simply, it was the poor industrial relations, the unfairness in the dealings between company and its workforce, that seems to have made production catastrophically less reliable. It turns out that the Fair Wage-Effort hypothesis came to pass in a very direct way in terms of quality and safety outcomes for customers. A Fair Treatment-Production Quality hypothesis perhaps.

See also: Workers value dignity
People matter, but not like that
An inequality in dignity, or the dignity deficit

I am happy to confirm as ever that the Sense of Fairness blog is a purely personal endeavour

The Fair Wage-Effort Hypothesis and Unemployment, George Akerlof and Janet Yellen, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 105, No. 2 (1990)

Strikes, Scabs, and Tread Separations: Labor Strife and the Production of Defective Bridgestone/Firestone Tires, Alan Krueger, Alexandre Mas, Journal of Political Economy, Vol 112, No 2 (2004)

Playing fair in detective fiction

A new novel called Fair Play was of course irresistible for this blog – especially when it turned out that the author, debut novelist Louise Hegarty, was speaking at my local bookshop.

Fair Play is an intriguing, even odd, blend. It starts as a modern story of a group of friends at a New Year’s party in an Airbnb country house. When one of the party dies mysteriously, it fractures into two: a locked-room detective story of the traditional sort, aping Agatha Christie, Arthur Conan Doyle, Dorothy L Sayers and so on, and the story of the grief of the dead man’s sister, Abigail, as she tries to make sense of what makes no sense.

The title of the book comes from what Hegarty has gathered as the ‘Fair Play Rules’ of detective fiction, three sets of guidance from its heyday of the late 1920s. Essentially, these are about being fair to the reader, so that we feel we have a fair chance of finding the truth, just as much as the detective, and at least we are smarter than the detective’s foil, the person Father Knox in one of the three sets of guidance, his 1929 Introduction to The Best Detective Stories of 1928-29, cruelly calls “The stupid friend of the detective, the Watson”.

It’s not hard to think of especially famous examples that breach some of the ‘Twenty Rules for Writing Detective Stories’ by SS Van Dine in The American Magazine in September 1928, for example numbers 12 and 13:

  • “There must be but one culprit, no matter how many murders are committed”; and
  • “Secret societies, camorras, mafias et al have no place in a detective story”

But then, some of the best writers have always played with the genre, on occasions bending the rules, only to the greater pleasure of the reader. The sleights of hand to pass quickly over clues after having brought them to our notice is one of the joys of these books (even if we only spot them after the fact!).

It’s not just my admiration for him as a writer that means my favourite of the three sets of guidance is that from TS Eliot, in a 1927 New Criterion piece in ‘Homage to Wilkie Collins’, widely seen to have invented the detective novel. The fifth of these is that “The detective should be highly intelligent but not superhuman. We should be able to follow his inferences and almost, but not quite, make them with him.” While being superhuman is not allowed, odd habits are: Hercule Poirot’s fastidiousness was clearly invented to hide (in plain sight) a decisive clue from the reader. It’s likely that same fastidiousness is what eventually came to annoy Christie so much about her character.

The key point of each of the guides is that the reader of a detective novel must emerge from the story not feeling cheated but feeling we could have got the answer for ourselves if only we had paid more attention, thought a little harder or taken a little more time to mull the clues available to us. We wouldn’t recommend to others a detective novel that was unfair by failing to live up to these expectations, and we probably wouldn’t read more from that writer. In reading, as in other things, humans favour fairness.

It needed no confirmation that Hegarty is a fan of detective stories, and of Christie in particular. Her handling of various of the standards of the genre, and particularly the playful repeated versions of different revelations of alternative murderers, show that very clearly. But in many ways the half of the book that is the detective novel is slight. What elevates Fair Play, and makes it linger in my mind, is the half that is the story of the sister’s grief. This, sparsely told and without easy answers, carries heft without being heavy.

The thing that seemed off limits at the talk was Hegarty’s own experience of grief. But it appears clear from the way she writes of it that she knows whereof she writes. We all have our experiences of grief, and this writing rings true, if anything helped by its sparseness. There are different short vignettes giving a vivid expression. Some of these are jarringly within a workplace setting, memorably a dull business meeting that comes to echo only with the words ‘my brother’s dead’. This feels very real, as does Abigail’s search for the answer, the simple revelation that will give her resolution. But life rarely offers the simple resolutions of a brilliant detective’s summing up.

Though there are no easy answers, I never felt cheated by what is an admirable first novel.

I am happy to confirm as ever that the Sense of Fairness blog is a purely personal endeavour. I am also happy to wish readers the compliments of the season.

Louise Hegarty, 2025. Fair Play, Picador

Father Knox, 1929. Introduction to The Best Detective Stories of 1928-29, Faber

SS Van Dine, 1928. Twenty Rules for Writing Detective Stories, The American Magazine

TS Eliot, 1927. Homage to Wilkie Collins: An omnibus review of nine mystery novels, New Criterion

Bubbles and economic fragilities

With all the talk about a bubble in investment in so-called ‘AI’*, I have taken a moment to reread the classic on the 1929 Wall Street bubble bursting, US economist John Kenneth Galbraith’s The Great Crash 1929, first published in the 1950s.

Speculative market bubbles do come and go. As Galbraith notes, the reason that 1929 is most remembered is not so much that the speculative bubble had grown so large before bursting (though it was unusually large) but that there were such broad real economy impacts from the bursting of the bubble – the lost years known as the Great Depression. A pair of Galbraith datapoints start to capture the scale of the Great Depression in the US and its searing impact on ordinary people: unemployment in 1933 was 13 million, one in four of the labour force; and even in 1938 still one in five were out of work.

So trying to understand why the Great Crash sparked the Great Depression is of real interest and seems like a timely thing to consider. Galbraith has no patience for the Wall Street apologists who argue there was no connection between Crash and Depression, but he does see that there were vulnerabilities in the economy that made it particularly susceptible to the crisis.

The first of these is of most interest to this blog, and Galbraith headlines it ‘The bad distribution of income’, noting that in 1929 the top 5% received around 35% of all personal income, and that interest, dividends and rental income (the almost exclusive preserve of the wealthy) represented fully 22% of total family income.

“This highly unequal income distribution meant that the economy was dependent on a high level of investment or a high level of luxury consumer spending or both. The rich cannot buy great quantities of bread. If they are to dispose of what they receive it must be on luxuries or by way of investment in new plants and new projects. Both investment and luxury spending are subject, inevitably, to more erratic influences and to wider fluctuations than the bread and rent outlays of the $25-week workman. This high-bracket spending and investment was especially susceptible, one may assume, to the crushing news from the stock market in October 1929.”

Readers will recognise some of our current distortions in these reports of the imbalances of pre-crash 1929 (also see Is enough enough? Addressing the problem of the super-rich, and The centre cannot hold). Significant inequalities – especially unfair ones – make economies less robust, more risky and more prone to crisis.

That is the first of Galbraith’s linkages between Great Crash and Great Depression. The others are as follows (deploying my brief characterisations of his comments):

  • Bad corporate structure. A business sector including many swindlers and fraudsters.
  • Bad lending. Profligate lending to unsound businesses and investments.
  • Imbalanced trade positions. Long-term trading imbalances, sometimes exacerbated through the application of tariffs, with the resulting deficits sometimes filled by corrupt, or at least grey, payments.
  • Poor economic insight. Shonky economic data riddled with holes.

So clearly, we’ve nothing to worry about now.

I will leave Galbraith with the last words of this blogpost, without comment from me. In the last pages of the book, he writes: “during the next boom some newly rediscovered virtuosity of the free enterprise system will be cited. It will be pointed out that people are justified in paying the present prices – indeed, almost any price – to have an equity position in the system. Among the first to accept these rationalizations will be some of those responsible for invoking the controls. The newspapers, some of them, will agree and speak harshly of those who think action might be in order. They will be called men of little faith.”

* Seasoned readers may remember that I am an ‘AI’ sceptic – see A just AI Transition, for example

See also: Is enough enough? Addressing the problem of the super-rich
The centre cannot hold

I am happy to confirm as ever that the Sense of Fairness blog is a purely personal endeavour – and also that I do not give, and am not authorised to give, personal financial advice. This blogpost should not be construed as such advice.

John Kenneth Galbraith, The Great Crash 1929. Hamish Hamilton 1955

The power of powerlessness

From this week’s Economist: how our sense of fairness means that we favour the underdog, and so makes forms of protest that seem powerless, powerful.

[if anyone is missing my blog, don’t worry! My fairness writing energies are largely being taken up by a book commitment; I’ll return re-energised to the blog next year, and you’ll also be able to read a book version of some of my Sense of Fairness thoughts]

Workers value dignity

It shouldn’t really be a surprise, but dignity at work – a combination of things such as the sense of autonomy and relationships with colleagues and bosses, and being treated fairly – matters to people. It’s as true at the bottom of the income scale, where observers might assume concerns about pay outweigh all other considerations, as it is higher up. Dignity matters to people, as I’ve been exploring in recent blogs.

For the book I am writing (on fairness in business and investment) I am currently investigating the literature on monopsony and oligopsony in labour markets. Monopsony is the distorted market situation arising from there being a single buyer of a good or service (a monopoly is where there’s a single seller); oligopsony is where there is a narrow enough group of buyers that they distort the marketplace. Economists are increasingly observing evidence that the labour market suffers inefficiencies that are consistent with oligopsony – employers having excess power in setting pay. Most workers would probably agree that their experiences too are consistent with this.

One part of this literature particularly stood out because it made a link to the issue of dignity, which increasingly seems a key element of people’s innate sense of fairness, and of their inclusion in society and the economy. In particular, a 2022 paper from the US National Bureau of Economic Research, called Power and Dignity in the Low-Wage Labor Market: Theory and Evidence from Wal-Mart Workers, uses evidence from real interactions with US employees of the globe’s largest private sector employer to understand their views and test hypotheses against reality.

The results are striking.

The study included four sentences exploring the degree to which workers had a sense of dignity in their jobs (these sentences were developed based on prior interviews with Wal-Mart workers that sought to understand their experience in the workplace, as well as earlier academic work). The overarching question was Indicate to what extent the sentence describes the workplace of your job at Walmart, and each time respondents were offered four responses (Almost Always; Often; Sometimes; Never). The four sentences were:

  • You [have/had] the opportunity to express yourself while at work.
  • You [can/could] rely on your co-workers to help you with work.
  • Your supervisor [treats/treated] you with respect.
  • Your supervisor [treats/treated] everyone fairly.

And of these four measures of dignity, it appears to be fairness that matters most. Indeed, a lack of fair treatment by one’s boss is in essence the greatest determinant of likelihood of quitting a job in the study, with the obvious exception of pay (and of the availability of hours of work a week, which is a clear part of the pay equation for those paid on an hourly basis):

Consistently, the study confirms that fairness and dignity are powerful drivers of work satisfaction, and thus in willingness to stay with an employer.

As the study states:

“A natural question is whether firms can adjust the level of dignity at work. While immediate supervisors likely have the most discretion over workplace dignity, supervisors can be incentivized by higher-level managers to treat subordinates fairly and with respect, and workplace rules can be designed to allow opportunities for self-expression and co-worker support. While it may take time to alter workplace experiences, and agency costs might be considerable, the significant cross-store variation we document below suggests that managers have some control over the level of workplace dignity.”

Our bosses, and how they treat us, matter.

As well as enhancing people management, the authors raise the interesting challenge of whether improving the competitive context of the labour market is necessary to increase dignity in the workplace, the experience of fairness for workers:

“any effort to increase workplace amenities (including subjective experiences at low-wage jobs) may require policies that reduce monopsony power in the low-wage labor market. The high levels of labor market competition in the immediate post-COVID labor market may have given workers the opportunity to quit jobs that didn’t provide dignity. Whether this results in firms upgrading the subjective experience of work remains to be seen.”

I’m not sure that we’ve yet seen significant enhancements to workplace dignity and fairness, but perhaps we should continue to live in hope.

See also: An inequality in dignity, or the dignity deficit
Belonging, not belongings

I am happy to confirm as ever that the Sense of Fairness blog is a purely personal endeavour

Power and Dignity in the Low-Wage Labor Market: Theory and Evidence from Wal-Mart Workers, Arindrajit Dube, Suresh Naidu, Adam Reich, NBER Working Paper No. 30441, September 2022